That's disappointingly far away in my book. My estimate has always been a 1 to 1.5 years wait, from the start of Zs getting delivered in reasonable numbers, before I can get a Z. Because I estimate it will take that long (at least in the USA market), for prices to settle to MSRP.Either dealers are overpromising again or there's fuckary afoot. I've recently been advised an April 2023 delivery for my early 2021 order.
So, if the clock starts around April 2023 or so, that puts me at mid-2024 or possibly 2025, before I might see a Z in my driveway.